December 29, 2015 No.2
https://www.facebook.com/mehtarahulc/posts/10153204448836922
Will your proposals and campaign methods fetch lakhs of activists and also fetch crores of voters?
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One of the key questions in activism is --- will your causes=proposals and campaign methods convince over 200,000 activists to spare their own time / money , AND will your proposals also convince 40 crore voters, to vote for the candidates who support these proposals?
.
Many political proposals dont need activists. eg consider proposal like "make SoMoKe PM of India". The leaders like SoMoKe have desi videshi elitemen to sponsor them. So they have paidmedia to convince crores of voters to vote for them. And they so these leaders dont need activists. SoMoKe "need" to keep activists busy so that activists dont start REAL activism such as promoting RTR-law-drafts. Otherwise, SoMoKe dont need activists to reach voters.
.
So if the political proposals are dear to elitemen, then such proposal doesnt not activist.
.
But say the proposals are NOT dear to the elitemen. And you need support of say 40 crore voters. Then, only way to reach crores of voters is lakhs of activists. So you will need at least 200,000 activists to reach 40 crore voters.
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Now, on your own, you can reach at most say 100,000 voters in your life. Or may be 10 lakh voters if you spend a lot of money in newspaper advt. And of them , some 2% will be activists. So on your own, you will be able to reach only 2000 to 20000 activists in whole life. And not all of them may join you in first round. Say only 200 to 2000 may join you in first round, And may be less, if your proposals / methods dont appeal to them right away..
.
And thru these 200 to 2000, you will need to reach 200,000 activists or more. And thru these 200,000 activists, you will need to reach 40 crore voters.
.
.
So one set of key questions is ----
.
(a) are your proposals and campaign methods strong enough to convince these 200 activists , whom you will personally meet, that they should spend their TIME and MONEY to take these proposals and campaign methods to other activists and voters?
.
(b) are your proposals and campaign methods wide enough to convince these 200 activists that his causes are covered?
.
(c) And are proposals and campaign methods better than other proposals and campaign methods, so that they get convinced NOT to spend their TIME and MONEY on OTHER proposals and campaign methods?
.
(d) are proposals / methods capable of creating chain reaction that will convince these 200 activists to take proposals to 20000 activists who can take proposal to 200,000 activists? And 200,000 activists take it to 40 crore voters?
.
(e) And will these proposals convince 40 crore voters to vote / support the election candidates who are campaigning for these proposals ?
.
====
.
Let me evaluate some proposals = causes
.
(1) Consider proposal of removing reservations. It can surely get over 10 lakh activists. But it will never get more than 20 crore votes. Thats why several anti-reservation movements came , grew and all got washed away.
.
(2) Consider the proposal that wealth of rich should be confiscated and distributed amongst poor. This proposal may get 45 crore votes. But this proposal may NOT get over a few thousand activists. Because most activists will see that such proposal will kill all incentives to do productive work and so it will reduce productive work in the society. And productive work is needed to create wealth, and even maintain \ protect wealth. So this proposal will not only stop creation of new wealth, but even maintaining and protecting wealth will become impossible. And so much of wealth will just get destroyed. And so this proposal cant be materialized using activism. Now foreign elitemen may support such proposal to wreck havoc in India, and may manage to make this proposal successful. But thats a separate topic.
.
(3) Consider proposal of protecting cows. This proposal on its own can surely fetch 10000 to 50000 activists across India. Maybe more. But the proposal on its own can NOT fetch 40 crore voters, even though over 80% of Indian voters do want goraksha. The reason why goraksha proposal cant fetch many voters is that voters have many problems in their lives. The goraksha is one of them, but not only one. So gorakshaks on their own have failed to win even 10 Loksabha seats. All they could do is become voter gatherer for BJP. Some BJP leaders were sincere about goraksha. But most were not. So rorakshaks, despite a lot of activism could not do much goraksha in India.
.
(4) Consider proposal of Environmentalism. Again this proposal does fetch 1000s of activists. But not many voters, as voters have many other important problems in their lives as well.
. .
===
.
Now finally consider proposals, such as RTR, JurySys etc . Now many activists' pet causes are reducing corrupion, reducing poverty, reducing gohatya etc. They will support RTR etc ONLY if they see clearly how RTR etc will further their causes. So much depends on how the senior RTR-activists print and explain DRAFTS. If the DRAFTS and explanations convince 200 activists they meet, that these drafts will serve their causes, then these 200 activists will agree to spend their money and their time to publicize these drafts. And each of these 200 activists may explain the draft to 10-200 more activists and 1000-2000 voters. And from that, the number can grow to 200,000 activists and 40 crore voters.
.
However, if an RTR-activist does NOT show how these DRAFTS will serve their causes, then these activists will NOT agree to spend their time and money to spread these RTR-drafts.
.
So first, the proposed law-drafts should be indeed powerful enough that activists RATIONALLY see that these drafts will indeed serve their causes. And next, RTR-activists will need to work to give explanations, that explain to other activists that RTR-drafts do serve their causes,
.
With this, it is possible to convince 200,000 activists to spend their time and money to publicize proposed law-drafts such as RTR-drafts, JurySys-drafts, MRCM-draft, TCP-draft etc And in such case, we can reach 45 crore voters via 2 lakh activists and without help from paidmediamen.
.
At the same time, most competing proposals such as "make SoMoKe PM of India" will indeed get support of 45 crore voters or more, but will never make 2 lakh activists PRODUCTIVE, These proposals will convert activists into zoombie so that they cant become useful for proposals that damage nefarious interests of nefarious elitemen.
.
So RTR-drafts as well as campaign method do have a major plus point over other competing proposals and campaign methods. Lets see, how far we recallists can take it
https://www.facebook.com/mehtarahulc/posts/10153204448836922
Will your proposals and campaign methods fetch lakhs of activists and also fetch crores of voters?
.
One of the key questions in activism is --- will your causes=proposals and campaign methods convince over 200,000 activists to spare their own time / money , AND will your proposals also convince 40 crore voters, to vote for the candidates who support these proposals?
.
Many political proposals dont need activists. eg consider proposal like "make SoMoKe PM of India". The leaders like SoMoKe have desi videshi elitemen to sponsor them. So they have paidmedia to convince crores of voters to vote for them. And they so these leaders dont need activists. SoMoKe "need" to keep activists busy so that activists dont start REAL activism such as promoting RTR-law-drafts. Otherwise, SoMoKe dont need activists to reach voters.
.
So if the political proposals are dear to elitemen, then such proposal doesnt not activist.
.
But say the proposals are NOT dear to the elitemen. And you need support of say 40 crore voters. Then, only way to reach crores of voters is lakhs of activists. So you will need at least 200,000 activists to reach 40 crore voters.
.
Now, on your own, you can reach at most say 100,000 voters in your life. Or may be 10 lakh voters if you spend a lot of money in newspaper advt. And of them , some 2% will be activists. So on your own, you will be able to reach only 2000 to 20000 activists in whole life. And not all of them may join you in first round. Say only 200 to 2000 may join you in first round, And may be less, if your proposals / methods dont appeal to them right away..
.
And thru these 200 to 2000, you will need to reach 200,000 activists or more. And thru these 200,000 activists, you will need to reach 40 crore voters.
.
.
So one set of key questions is ----
.
(a) are your proposals and campaign methods strong enough to convince these 200 activists , whom you will personally meet, that they should spend their TIME and MONEY to take these proposals and campaign methods to other activists and voters?
.
(b) are your proposals and campaign methods wide enough to convince these 200 activists that his causes are covered?
.
(c) And are proposals and campaign methods better than other proposals and campaign methods, so that they get convinced NOT to spend their TIME and MONEY on OTHER proposals and campaign methods?
.
(d) are proposals / methods capable of creating chain reaction that will convince these 200 activists to take proposals to 20000 activists who can take proposal to 200,000 activists? And 200,000 activists take it to 40 crore voters?
.
(e) And will these proposals convince 40 crore voters to vote / support the election candidates who are campaigning for these proposals ?
.
====
.
Let me evaluate some proposals = causes
.
(1) Consider proposal of removing reservations. It can surely get over 10 lakh activists. But it will never get more than 20 crore votes. Thats why several anti-reservation movements came , grew and all got washed away.
.
(2) Consider the proposal that wealth of rich should be confiscated and distributed amongst poor. This proposal may get 45 crore votes. But this proposal may NOT get over a few thousand activists. Because most activists will see that such proposal will kill all incentives to do productive work and so it will reduce productive work in the society. And productive work is needed to create wealth, and even maintain \ protect wealth. So this proposal will not only stop creation of new wealth, but even maintaining and protecting wealth will become impossible. And so much of wealth will just get destroyed. And so this proposal cant be materialized using activism. Now foreign elitemen may support such proposal to wreck havoc in India, and may manage to make this proposal successful. But thats a separate topic.
.
(3) Consider proposal of protecting cows. This proposal on its own can surely fetch 10000 to 50000 activists across India. Maybe more. But the proposal on its own can NOT fetch 40 crore voters, even though over 80% of Indian voters do want goraksha. The reason why goraksha proposal cant fetch many voters is that voters have many problems in their lives. The goraksha is one of them, but not only one. So gorakshaks on their own have failed to win even 10 Loksabha seats. All they could do is become voter gatherer for BJP. Some BJP leaders were sincere about goraksha. But most were not. So rorakshaks, despite a lot of activism could not do much goraksha in India.
.
(4) Consider proposal of Environmentalism. Again this proposal does fetch 1000s of activists. But not many voters, as voters have many other important problems in their lives as well.
. .
===
.
Now finally consider proposals, such as RTR, JurySys etc . Now many activists' pet causes are reducing corrupion, reducing poverty, reducing gohatya etc. They will support RTR etc ONLY if they see clearly how RTR etc will further their causes. So much depends on how the senior RTR-activists print and explain DRAFTS. If the DRAFTS and explanations convince 200 activists they meet, that these drafts will serve their causes, then these 200 activists will agree to spend their money and their time to publicize these drafts. And each of these 200 activists may explain the draft to 10-200 more activists and 1000-2000 voters. And from that, the number can grow to 200,000 activists and 40 crore voters.
.
However, if an RTR-activist does NOT show how these DRAFTS will serve their causes, then these activists will NOT agree to spend their time and money to spread these RTR-drafts.
.
So first, the proposed law-drafts should be indeed powerful enough that activists RATIONALLY see that these drafts will indeed serve their causes. And next, RTR-activists will need to work to give explanations, that explain to other activists that RTR-drafts do serve their causes,
.
With this, it is possible to convince 200,000 activists to spend their time and money to publicize proposed law-drafts such as RTR-drafts, JurySys-drafts, MRCM-draft, TCP-draft etc And in such case, we can reach 45 crore voters via 2 lakh activists and without help from paidmediamen.
.
At the same time, most competing proposals such as "make SoMoKe PM of India" will indeed get support of 45 crore voters or more, but will never make 2 lakh activists PRODUCTIVE, These proposals will convert activists into zoombie so that they cant become useful for proposals that damage nefarious interests of nefarious elitemen.
.
So RTR-drafts as well as campaign method do have a major plus point over other competing proposals and campaign methods. Lets see, how far we recallists can take it
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